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The $100 Trillion Stablecoin Market with Sam Kazemian

The Rollup and Sam Kazemian analyze how the Fed’s 25 basis point cut and shift in monetary policy are creating a pivotal moment for the $300 billion stablecoin market.

September 26, 2025

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Table of Contents

Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Ignite a New Era for Stablecoins

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Stabled Up — Ep. 1

A pivotal shift in macroeconomic policy is reshaping the financial landscape, creating a unique window of opportunity for digital dollars.

With the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates, stablecoins are moving from a crypto-niche technology into the mainstream spotlight as a critical tool for navigating the new economic environment.

This development was the central topic of discussion on the debut episode of the "Stabled Up" podcast, which aims to be a place for "breaking crypto out of its echo chamber and taking it to the real world."

The first episode features insights from Sam Kazemian, the founder of Frax and a recognized expert in the stablecoin space.

Kazemian, who was named to Forbes' "30 Under 30" for his work in finance, argues that this monetary policy shift has created an unprecedented moment for the industry.

"I think we're at probably the most interesting juncture where stablecoins are the hottest technology," he stated, setting the stage for a deep dive into the forces now at play.

The Economic Catalyst Driving Stablecoin Adoption

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The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) initiated its policy shift at its September 16-17 meeting, cutting the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a new target range of 4.00%–4.25%. This was the first such cut in nine months, signaling a departure from the aggressive rate-hiking cycle that began in March 2022 to combat inflation.

During the interview, Kazemian pointed to this event as a major catalyst. He noted the Fed's move and the market's anticipation of further easing, with "projected 50 bps potentially" on the horizon for the remainder of 2025 according to the Fed's dot plot.

This transition from a high-interest-rate environment fundamentally alters market dynamics. For the past several years, investors could find attractive, low-risk yields in traditional financial (TradFi) instruments like U.S. Treasuries. As rates decline, so do the returns on these assets. This creates a new economic paradigm where capital begins searching for alternative sources of yield, a challenge stablecoins are uniquely positioned to address.

A Critical Juncture for Crypto

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The new, lower-yield world is accelerating the adoption and utility of stablecoins. As Andy noted in the episode, years of groundwork are now converging with market conditions, observing, "it seems like all that education is paying off because stablecoins are all the rage."

This observation is backed by hard data. The total market capitalization for stablecoins recently surpassed $300 billion in September 2025, and onchain transaction volume exceeded that of payments giant Visa in the first quarter of the year.

In this environment, stablecoins serve two primary functions:

1 — They act as a hedge against the economic uncertainty that often accompanies shifts in monetary policy.

2 — They provide highly efficient and programmable "rails" for capital.

As investors and institutions look for better returns, stablecoins offer a seamless on-ramp to global DeFi markets, where they can be deployed in lending, trading, and yield-generating strategies.

Beyond the immediate search for yield, Kazemian’s analysis points to a more profound role for stablecoins in mitigating future systemic risks. The latter half of 2025 has seen growing concern among economists about the potential for "stagflation-lite"—a challenging environment of slow economic growth combined with persistent inflation.

Kazemian highlighted the immense pressure on central banks to avoid worst-case outcomes. He explained that policymakers are trying to navigate a difficult path, as "they are trying to prevent the stagflation scenario, deep depression, collapse, etc. at all costs."

In such a scenario, the established financial system could face significant strain. Kazemian suggests that robust, decentralized stablecoin infrastructure could provide a crucial alternative, offering a resilient and transparent pathway for economic activity.

By operating on global, 24/7 blockchain networks, stablecoins can offer a level of financial stability and accessibility that is independent of traditional financial intermediaries, which may become bottlenecks during periods of economic stress.

The Underpinning Infrastructure and Composability

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The effectiveness of stablecoins in this new era depends entirely on their underlying technology. The ability for these digital dollars to function as efficient financial rails is built on a foundation of blockchain architecture, smart contracts, and interoperability protocols.

A key concept Kazemian touched upon is "composability," a core principle of DeFi often described as "money legos."

This allows different stablecoins and financial applications to interact and build upon one another seamlessly.

He framed this as a critical area of focus, asking, "What is the composability between the two?" This question highlights the ongoing work to ensure different stablecoin systems can communicate and transfer value without friction.

Technologies like cross-chain bridges are vital, enabling stablecoins to move between different networks like Ethereum and Tron. This interoperability creates a more unified and liquid global market, enhancing their utility for everything from cross-border payments to complex DeFi yield strategies.

A Look Ahead for the Stablecoin Market

The convergence of Federal Reserve policy and maturing digital asset technology has created a powerful catalyst for stablecoin adoption.

What was once a tool for crypto traders is rapidly becoming an essential component of the modern financial toolkit, offering efficiency, yield opportunities, and a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty.

Looking to the future, Kazemian predicts a market that will mature and consolidate around the most robust and compliant offerings.

He anticipates that "there will be a short list of real money genius compliant stablecoins" that will lead the industry forward.

This pivotal moment marks the beginning of a significant and lasting trend.

As the global financial system adapts to a new interest rate paradigm, stablecoins are poised to play an increasingly central role in defining the future of money.

To hear the full conversation with Sam Kazemian, listen to the first episode of the "Stabled Up" podcast linked above.

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